2019 predictions

Here are my best guesses for what might unfold in 2019.

-Gasoline will top $4 some time this year.

-European Union will continue to fracture under the pressure of the common folks disenchantment and the political elites’ out of touch perspective. I suspect they may enact some noteworthy measures of appeasement to  maintain order.

-Trust and reliance on legacy media, corporations and government institutions continues to erode despite their collusion.

-Censorship and denial of reality based policies has created a vacuum that may create alternative societal means of exchange (currencies), media and social platforms.

-Faith in fiat currency erodes.

-Gold tops $1,500 US

-The emergence of expatriated silicon valley types forms an anti-leftist movement to counter their totalitarian overreach.

-A shadow economy emerges outside of government regulated and taxed commerce.

-Pension fund failures make the headlines.

-The Clinton scandals will come to light that even the MSM will face accountability.

-More censorship will be tried and the push-back will expose it.

-Alternative social platforms and means of commerce gain relevance.

-There is realization by the proletariat that they need not delegate authority to corrupt elitist overlords.

-The Seahawks fall short of the Superbowl.

If my past record is any indication of the viability of these predictions it would be safe bet that little of this will come to pass.

Happy New Year to all. May we all find peace, health and fulfillment in this coming year.

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2018 predictions – how did I do?

Another year has sped by.

Gasoline will top $4 sometime during the year. Wrong. It did get to the mid 3’s but didn’t top $4

Dow has a 25% correction. Wrong! so far… It did climb to 26,800+ and has recently corrected to just over 24,000. There are still a few weeks left in the year. NOT one I want to be right about. I’ve heard no satisfactory reason why it went up as high as it did other than delusion. I suspect it will end the year lower yet. Not likely the big correction I predicted though. (Update: with one day to go the market is just over 23,000)

Interest rates remain very low. Low though there were some hikes this year.

Seahawks fail to make the superbowl in 2018. Correct. Didn’t watch a single game.

Mariners fail to make the playoffs in 2018. Correct didn’t watch a single game.

My interest in televised sport might be rekindled with the Winter Olympics if an internet path is available, I will NOT watch network coverage. The Tour, MLB, NFL, etc. remain soiled and unwatchable to me. I didn’t watch TV or follow any event. I guess the tour was great.

The rumblings in Saudi Arabia intensify and radiate beyond their borders. With the murder of a journalist popular with the establishment media they have  brought more eyes on themselves. This is likely the early stages of public awareness of a decaying regime. I believe it will continue to destabilize in the years to come.

The EU continues to crumble. I suspect the crash is a ways off yet. The Yellow Vest protests have brought attention to the eroding EU experiment. The political elite have ascended and are no longer of the people. This too is a trend I predict will continue.

The “perv-nado” (male sexual harassers) brings down more celebrity and political elites but the tide will peak and ebb this year. A few will be exonerated, though they will be forever chard by the flames of accusation. It seems that I was correct. The pendulum has swung against the #metoo movement as it has been exposed as just another antisemitic social justice front at the highest levels. Some of been called out for their own abuse and others have disavowed.

The democrats will make modest gains in the mid term elections. The republicans retained the senate. The Democrats took the house though not by the margin they had predicted. The “blue wave” didn’t materialize.

The Russian conspiracy investigation will not lead to impeachment. This is developing. I’ve heard proclamations on both sides that indicate my prediction may or may not be correct. There are many teaser headlines and discussions about the imminent impeachment but nothing yet that is verifiable.

Corporate legacy media will continue its trend toward irrelevance. Yup and their desperation is showing in the form of deplatforming of MSM alternatives and click-bait fake news headlines.

North Korean tensions come to a head. They have removed some outposts and there are signs of progress toward easing of tensions.

The Clintons’ reputation further degrades as more corruption comes to light. Everyone but the mainstream media seems to realize this.

Funding for colleges declines. Generally correct on this one. Enrollment is down.

Gold tops 1,500. Nope

NFL ratings continue to slide. It appears the ratings may be rebounding from last year.

The Fed raises interest rates .25% one time. I think they raised it twice. With the market tumult currently underway they have signaled a halt in the future hikes.

An alternative to Youtube emerges. Youtube remains a viable platform but it is clear that it is capable of self destruction. Patreon slashed its own wrist by de-platforming Sargon. I remains to be seen if it will bleed out. There is a fertile ground available for alternative hosting and creator support. I’m certain those niches will be exploited in the not too distant future. Bitchute, Minds, Gab have floated somewhat clunky alternatives but they have taken root. Their is room for innovation and I suspect once that is realized the Facebook, Google, YT, twitter monopolies will being to dissolve. They have violated the trust of the users and there is a hunger for the unrestrained freedom to express and debate ideas.

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Institutional Bastardization

The legitimacy of Government appears to be in question.  Rules seem only to apply when instituted by those united by a shared dogma. One mob refuses to recognize the decrees of the other if perceived to be unfavorable to their agenda. Even the veritably of the democratic process is doubted.

More and more are waking to the reality that government is little more than theater. The laws it creates apply only to some and rarely to those who create them.

Imagining they are solving some societal ill the political elite pass laws to coerce behaviors that inevitably birth a myriad of unintended consequences   Enforcement is difficult at best and those in violation may not even know it. In some cases the laws are only selectively enforced and typically against political rivals.

 

 

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Firewood and Stake Futures

Witch hunting is in fashion again. Make an uncorroborated vaguely plausible allegation of sexual misconduct and destroy anyone targeted. Scores of character witnesses, a history of conduct to the contrary and outright denial will NOT shield them.

Dr. Christine Fair of Georgetown University posted:

“Look at [this] chorus of entitled white men justifying a serial rapist’s arrogated entitlement,” she wrote. “All of them deserve miserable deaths while feminists laugh as they take their last gasps. Bonus: we castrate their corpses and feed them to swine? Yes.”

The demand for stakes and firewood is on the rise.

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Too Rosy

For a long time I’ve been suspicious of our societal institutions. Particularly their sustainability and viability. At some point debt matters. Someone will be left holding the bag.

Things are mighty rosy now. I hope it lasts. Not counting on it though.

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#WalkAway

The testimonials are revealing and powerful. The mass media is downplaying the movement which makes me suspect it has some weight to it.

Many of the participants cite the betrayal of the media as their reason to #WalkAway.

Time will tell if it will have an impact on the coming elections.

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The dominoes are stacked.

I sense the dominoes are stacked waiting for something to trigger the cascade into disorder. What, how and when are the questions I ponder. The why and the who will come later.

Despite that shade, life has never been better. I’m grateful and enjoying the present. What lay ahead is beyond my control for the most part. I endeavor to be resilient and useful in the ways I can. I am Blessed,

 

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